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John Hull

"The real challenge was to model all the interest rates simultaneously, so you could value something that depended not only on the three-month interest rate, but on other interest rates as well."

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"The real challenge was to model all the interest rates simultaneously, so you could value something that depended not only on the three-month interest rate, but on other interest rates as well."

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Assegid Habtewold

"If you participate in a competition, you have a chance to lose. If you don't participate, you are already a loser."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"Sometimes, God's silence is a challenge for us to act."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"How will I ever get out of this labyrinth!" to a margin note written in her loop-heavy cursive: Straight & Fast."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"Every problem is a new puzzle to be solved."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"When faced with a hurdle then give it all you've got to jump over it because it can't be done in two stages."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"It takes physical, spiritual and mental preparation to overcome the life challenges."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"If you escape from a necessary fight, pray you will live long enough to wait for and deal with the same challenge that must be settled."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"Every problem is a new puzzle to solve."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"This mountain must come down, the mountain of ignorance has to be brought down."

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Personal Development

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Assegid Habtewold

"One who takes the road less traveled earns the rewards most missed."

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John Hull
"The HoLee model was the first term structure model. I remember reading their paper soon after it was published and as it was fairly different from many of the other papers that I had read, I had to read it quite a few times. I realized that it was a really important paper."

First

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John Hull
"In the interest rate area, traders have for a long time used a version of what is known as Black's model for European bond options; another version of the same model for caps and floors; and yet another version of the same model for European swap options."

Time

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John Hull
"There are challenges in terms of the measurement of VAR for what are known as nonlinear derivatives, where things like gamma and vega are important dimensions of the risk."

Risk

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John Hull
"If each of your time steps is one week long, you are not modeling the stock price terribly well over a one-week time period, because you are saying that there are only two possible outcomes."

Time

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John Hull
"Alan White and I spent the next two or three years working together on this. We developed what is known a stochastic volatility model. This is a model where the volatility as well as the underlying asset price moves around in an unpredictable way."

Years

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John Hull
"One important measurement issue concerns the fat tails problem that I mentioned earlier. VAR is concerned with extreme outcomes. If the tails of the probability distributions we are using are too thin, our VAR measures are likely to be too low."

Extreme

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John Hull
"Yes, our tree has an interesting shape. The center branches reflect the shape of the zero curve. When extreme parts of the tree are reached the branching pattern changes to accommodate the mean reversion."

Extreme

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John Hull
"We concluded that you cannot rely on delta hedging alone. It sounds simplistic to say that now, but back then, this was the sort of thing people were only just beginning to realize."

People

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John Hull
"Briefly speaking, our conclusion is that stochastic volatility does not make a huge difference as far as the pricing is concerned if you get the average volatility right. It makes a big difference as far as hedging is concerned."

Difference

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John Hull
"Our tree is actually a tree of the short-term interest rate. The average direction in which the short-term interest rate moves depends on the level of the rate. When the rate is very high, that direction is downward; when the rate is very low, it is upward."

Direction

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