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John Hull

"Our research led on to other things, such as the fact that exchange rates are not lognormally distributed."

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"Our research led on to other things, such as the fact that exchange rates are not lognormally distributed."

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Explore more quotes by John Hull

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John Hull
"We concluded that you cannot rely on delta hedging alone. It sounds simplistic to say that now, but back then, this was the sort of thing people were only just beginning to realize."
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John Hull
"The problem with interest rates are that you are not modeling a single number, you are modeling a whole term structure, so it is a sort of different type of problem."
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John Hull
"Alan White and I spent the next two or three years working together on this. We developed what is known a stochastic volatility model. This is a model where the volatility as well as the underlying asset price moves around in an unpredictable way."
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John Hull
"Our tree is actually a tree of the short-term interest rate. The average direction in which the short-term interest rate moves depends on the level of the rate. When the rate is very high, that direction is downward; when the rate is very low, it is upward."
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John Hull
"One important measurement issue concerns the fat tails problem that I mentioned earlier. VAR is concerned with extreme outcomes. If the tails of the probability distributions we are using are too thin, our VAR measures are likely to be too low."
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John Hull
"The real challenge was to model all the interest rates simultaneously, so you could value something that depended not only on the three-month interest rate, but on other interest rates as well."
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John Hull
"Briefly speaking, our conclusion is that stochastic volatility does not make a huge difference as far as the pricing is concerned if you get the average volatility right. It makes a big difference as far as hedging is concerned."
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John Hull
"Our starting point then was trying to find a way to incorporate mean reversion into the HoLee model."
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John Hull
"We started giving presentations at practitioner conferences in 1986, and since then all of our derivatives research has been stimulated by contact with practitioners."
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John Hull
"Yes, our tree has an interesting shape. The center branches reflect the shape of the zero curve. When extreme parts of the tree are reached the branching pattern changes to accommodate the mean reversion."
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